The rapid growth of asset tokenisation is set to transform the cross-border fund industry over the coming years, but there are a number of challenges that the industry will need to overcome before it can realise its full potential.
IFI Global, supported by Jersey Finance, has explored the current state of the digital assets market and the impact of tokenisation on the industry. The research will help us to make meaningful progress in an area that, looking ahead, is likely to become central to operations in the cross-border fund industry.
Tokenisation is an important part of the digitalisation of assets. It is likely to offer new opportunities to both investors and asset managers, and it has already begun to impact real assets. Real estate has been an early adopter, along with infrastructure and precious metals like gold. Other illiquid asset classes are not that far behind, such as private equity and various sustainable investment sectors. Managers of real asset funds are being presented with the opportunity to access new investor categories because of it.
As well as opening up previously hard to access illiquid asset classes to new investors, tokenised investments are also effectively borderless. This might present the fund industry with a need to have a fundamental re-think on regulatory, governance and jurisdictional matters.
The distributed ledger technology, on which tokenisation is based, is developing in ways that go beyond cryptocurrency. Whilst most cryptocurrencies are on blockchains, not all blockchains are being developed for cryptocurrencies. It is likely that cryptocurrencies will represent a diminishing proportion of the assets on blockchains in future, as the investment management industry adopts this new technology for many different categories of its funds. The origins of asset tokenisation pre-date the emergence of cryptocurrencies, although the technology that has been developed for this new asset class, along with smart contracts, has given tokenisation a big boost.
Unlike securities, tokens can be traded in fractions, which offers investors holdings of any size. For example, a US$5 million fund can be divided into 100 tokens worth US$50,000 each, and then fractionalised and sold in smaller units. It is similar to an investor trading one-tenth of a cryptocurrency, like Bitcoin. The process could open up certain previously illiquid real asset classes to investors with small amounts of capital.
1. Industry disruption
The fact that tokenised assets are accessible to anyone with access to the Internet could present the industry with significant regulatory challenges. And it could bring about a restructuring of the industry in the years ahead, especially on its private assets side. The industry might need to look again at its system of categorisation – both by investor and asset class – and tokenisation could facilitate the development of new alternative asset classes, particularly in otherwise hard-to-access specialist sustainable investment sectors.
2. Technology
Industry tech spend will almost certainly need to increase substantially as a result. This investment is likely to be continuous and it could be many years before it subsides. Also, there is still a lot work to be done in building blockchain scalability and developing global frameworks.
3. Regulation and legal disputes
Tokenisation and the broader decentralised finance (DeFi) industry will present the fund sector with a number of regulatory challenges. With or without more regulation, there could very well be some complex and expensive legal disputes ahead.
4. Fraud
Contractual details on tokens are defined in smart contracts. Smart Contracts are one of the great innovations of the digital world, but they are only as reliable as the code that is used to create them. The digital world has attracted more than its fair share of bad actors.
5. Recapitalisation of real asset funds
It is not yet clear how tokenised funds, perhaps with many smaller investors, would be able to be recapitalised when needed. It might be that only certain real asset funds, those that give up on the recapitalised option, can be tokenised.
6. Scalability
Scalability needs to improve before the tokenised opportunity for real asset funds can be fully realised. The CAIA points out that in the area of hedge funds, private equity and natural resources, a sizeable universe is needed to be able to create a portfolio of tokens for diversification.
7. Governance
The greater access to assets that were previously only available to professional investors will lead to some interesting governance questions. The protection for investors in tokenised funds is a key aspect of this.
8. Domiciliation of tokenised real asset funds
Tokenised real asset funds are global. It will be very difficult to say to investors in one country that they can access a tokenised investment vehicle but not in another. As a result, they are probably better off being domiciled in jurisdictions that are used to dealing with investors from all over the world and which are tax neutral.
Forecasts for the growth of asset tokenisation are universally bullish. A report published in 2022 by BCG and ADDX forecasts that asset tokenisation will grow into a US$16.1 trillion business by 2030. The report suggests that there will be growth in both real assets but also in other investment fund categories too, such as equities and bonds. It also expects to see asset tokenisation moving into new areas, such as car fleets and patents.
There may well also be a role for tokenisation in the many illiquid investment areas that are part of ESG’s sustainable sectors. Tokenisation could have a major impact on sustainable sectors such as renewables, forestry and water, for example.
Polaris Market Research reports that the global tokenisation market was valued at US$2.56 billion at the end of 2021 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.9% to the end of the decade. Beyond the investment industry, it has been estimated that 10% of global GDP could be based upon tokenised processes by 2030.